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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2024 Valid 211300Z – 221200Z …NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST… …SUMMARY… Isolated thunderstorms are possible this morning into early afternoon across parts of coastal Oregon and northern California. …Coastal OR/northern CA… A potent mid to upper-level shortwave trough will move ashore the northern CA/OR coast and continue northeastward into the southern Canadian Rockies/northern Rockies vicinity through late tonight. Weak thunderstorm activity embedded within a warm-air advection rain shield will continue moving into the coastal range mountains this morning before […]
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0322 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2024 Valid 241200Z – 291200Z …DISCUSSION… A more active southern-stream pattern is expected next week with several lower latitude troughs crossing the southern tier, along with some northward increase in low-level moisture across parts of Texas to the Lower Mississippi Valley and Gulf Coast. On Tuesday/Day 4, one such shortwave trough should influence increasing thunderstorm potential across south-central to east/southeast Texas. Some severe risk could materialize Tuesday, but it appears that overall buoyancy will be weak with the severe potential currently […]
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CST Sat Dec 21 2024 Valid 231200Z – 241200Z …NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST… …SUMMARY… Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday. …Discussion… A shortwave trough is expected to amplify over the Rockies and High Plains in advance of a more prominent upper trough approaching the California coast Monday night. Modest low-level moisture return will occur across Texas in advance of a southeastward-moving cold front crossing the southern High Plains and parts of Texas. The potential for elevated thunderstorms should increase Monday night […]