MD 1722 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. Mesoscale Discussion 1722 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Areas affected…northern North Dakota into northwest Minnesota. Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible Valid 241936Z – 242100Z Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent SUMMARY…A watch will likely be needed by later this afternoon. DISCUSSION…Storms continue to develop along a differential heating zone/outflow boundary across northern Minnesota and southern Manitoba. Ongoing activity remains elevated, but CINH has started to erode across northeast North Dakota where temperatures are in the mid to upper 80s and dewpoints in […]
MD 1720 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE GEORGIA AND CAROLINA COAST Mesoscale Discussion 1720 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0115 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Areas affected…Portions of the Georgia and Carolina Coast Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely Valid 241815Z – 242015Z Probability of Watch Issuance…5 percent SUMMARY…The potential for damaging downburst winds is gradually increasing across portions of the Georgia and Carolina coast. This threat is expected to remain sufficiently sporadic and transient to preclude watch issuance. DISCUSSION…Convection has been gradually increasing along the NC/SC coast along a weak cold front as temperatures continue to warm […]
MD 1721 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST IDAHO AND PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEAST NEVADA AND NORTHWEST UTAH Mesoscale Discussion 1721 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0202 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Areas affected…Southeast Idaho and portions of far northeast Nevada and northwest Utah Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely Valid 241902Z – 242100Z Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent SUMMARY…Isolated thunderstorms capable of producing strong to severe downburst winds will spread across southeast Idaho through early evening. This threat will remain sufficiently limited to preclude watch issuance. DISCUSSION…Latest GOES imagery and lightning data show steady vertical growth of cumulus and the […]
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026 Valid 251200Z – 261200Z …CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE INLAND NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHWEST GREAT BASIN AND NORTHWEST MONTANA… Minor modifications were made to the outlook based on the latest forecast guidance. Isolated to scattered mixed wet/dry thunderstorms may develop into western South Dakota and northeast Wyoming. However, efforts were made to exclude areas that have recently received wetting rain, will likely receive wetting rain, or will have multiple consecutive days of wetter thunderstorms. Regardless, […]
